Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets for Warriors vs Grizzlies Showdown on May 1

The two-seeded Boston Celtics host the three-seeded Milwaukee Bucks in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. DraftKings Sportsbook favored the Celtics by 4.5 points with a total of 217.5. The teams split the regular season series to two each, with the home team winning in each contest. Giannis Antetokounmpo missed one of those matches.

Let’s review the game’s fantastic prospects for Showdown contests on DraftKings.


Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $100,000 Fadeaway [$25K to 1st] (MIL vs. BOS)


Captain’s Choice

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($18,600) – Giannis is averaging 1.72 DKFP per minute and has the highest floor/ceiling combo on the slate. The Celtics had the best defensive rating in the regular season and held Giannis at 34.5 DKFP the first time they faced each other. In the next two games, he went for 63 and 55.75 DKFP. Giannis literally does everything and has an utilization rate of around 34%. He will have his. It’s just a question of how much.

Smart Marcus ($11,400) – There is volatility with Smart and the floor is low. He averaged just 0.91 DKFP per minute and went under 30 DKFP 37 times. It has, however, exceeded 40 DKFP 13 times. He’ll dole out assists and rack up defensive stats, but rebounds, field goal attempts and efficiency are the wild cards. In four games against Milwaukee in the regular season, he scored 42.5, 24.75, 46.75 and 33.5 DKFP. The popular captains will be Giannis and Jayson Tatum, so it’s a way to differentiate themselves from what should be an inferior property.

FLEX Games

Jrue Holiday ($9,800) – Holidays cost an average of 1.13 DKFP per minute and are usually between 30 and 40 DKFP. He contributes in all categories and has the potential for ceiling games. During the regular season, he topped 50 DKFP nine times with a high of 60.25. Against the Celtics, he scored 50.5, 39, 37.25 and 59.5 DKFP. With Khris Middleton out, Holiday and Giannis will carry the bulk of the offensive load, and Holiday has seen his usage increase from 4.5% to 28.4%.

Value

Grant Williams ($4,000) – Williams is a little-used 3-D player. That said, he has become a valuable member of the rotation due to his defensive versatility and ability to stretch the ground on offense. He played over 30 minutes in Brooklyn’s final three games and had 16, 29 and 37 minutes in three regular season games for the Bucks, with more playing time each game. He produced 26.8, 16.8 and 30 DKFPs in the Nets series and had 9.5, 29.5 and 24 DFKPs against Milwaukee.

Fades

Bobby Portis ($7,800) – Portis has been great replacing Middleton in the series with Chicago. He played 25, 33 and 32 minutes, contributing 41, 28.5 and 37.8 DKFP. He has always known how to put the ball in the basket and will win his share of boards, but he does little in the other categories. He should get the minutes, but the Celtics are a tough game for him, as they neutralized the MPHF in small forwards 10.58 percent below league average, fourth-best in the NBA.

Grayson Allen ($5,400) – Allen has been fantastic in the last three games of the series with Chicago. He scored at least 20 points in two of the three contests and earned 23.3, 38.5 and 36 DKFP. As the defenses crumbled on Giannis and the Bucks picked up the pace, Allen received a ton of good looks. In Game 1 against the Celtics in the regular season, Allen scored 30 DKFPs as he shot 5-for-9 from downtown and finished with 21 points. In the next two games, however, he went for 19.25 and 11 DKFP. As the season progressed, the Celtics’ defense became the best in the league. Against shooting guards, they suppressed 3-pointers 13.87% below league average and allowed the third-lowest conversion rate at 33.9%.

The result

The Celtics have swept the Nets and have lost just 12 games since the start of the new year. They have the best defense in the league and finished ninth in offensive efficiency. They know Giannis intimately and know how to put up a wall against him. Also, Al Horford has historically played well against him. The home team won every regular season game and I see that trend continuing.

Final score: Celtics 111, Bucks 105

Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $100,000 Fadeaway [$25K to 1st] (MIL vs. BOS)


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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and I’m also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may occasionally play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and are not a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment to create queues. I can also deploy different players and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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