Fantasy basketball picks: Best DraftKings NBA DFS goals for Heat vs Celtics Showdown May 23

the Boston Celtics are looking to bounce back from giving up the home ground they discovered with their split in Miami. Marcus Smart and Robert Williams are both questionable and their status could play a huge role in the outcome of Game 4. miami heat also have their own injury issues, with Jimmy Butler being questionable with a knee issue. No MRI was needed and the injury doesn’t appear to be serious, but it’s something he treated during the regular season. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Celtics favored by 6.5 points, with a total of 208. Since the All-Star break, including the playoffs, Boston has lost consecutive games only once.

Let’s review the fantastic prospects for Showdown contest on DraftKings.


Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $700,000 Shootaround [$150K to 1st] (MIA vs. BOS)


Captain’s Choice

Jayson Tatum ($16,500) – Tatum was terrible in Game 3, scoring just 10 points on 3-for-14 shooting. He finished with 21 DKFP. I expect it to bounce back in a big way for game 4. Recency bias could also transfer some ownership to Adebayo and Brown, especially since they are both cheaper and have had some great games on Saturday. The usage rate was only 23.3% in Game 3 for Tatum, after being 27.5% and 30.2% in the first two games. The playoffs are all about adjustments, so the defensive attention pendulum may swing back to Brown with the usage rate bouncing back for Tatum. In those playoffs, Tatum won over 40 DKFPs in 11 of 14 games with two over 60s. Against the Bucks, he put up 24.3 DKFPs and then responded with 55.8 in the next contest.

Jimmy Butler ($15,900) – Butler only played 20 minutes in Game 3 due to knee pain. It is debatable but no MRI was necessary. With Adebayo having a Game 3 monster and the questionable tag for Butler, ownership could move away from Butler. If I go with a Heat player, it will be Butler. The floor/ceiling is the best of the team and there could be depressed ownership. In those playoffs, Butler has topped 50 DKFP eight times with four of 60 and a game-high 72.8. Adjustments will be made for Adebayo and the potential return of Robert Williams could also be considered.

FLEX games

Robert Williams ($6,400) – Williams is questionable for Game 4, so make sure he plays first. He has improved and I think he is playing in this critical contest. In the first two games of the series, he played 28 and 20 minutes, producing 34.3 and 17.5 DKFP. In that 17.5 DKFP game, the Celtics won by 25 points. When he’s on the court, he racks up rebounds, defensive stats, and gets tons of alley-oops. His defensive presence could be vital in limiting Adebayo.

Jaylen Brown ($9,800) – Brown went for 40 points in Game 3 and finished with 54.8 DKFP. Nobody on the Heat can keep him one-on-one because he’s able to get to the rim at will and his downtown pull has been pure. There were shooting efficiency issues at times during the season, but in this playoff he only shot below 40% once with seven games over 50% . Against Miami, he shot 70%, 52.9% and 41.2%.

Value

Caleb Martin ($1,400) – Martin played 13, 18 and 10 minutes during this series. He’s gone for 10 and 13.8 DKFP in the last two games. In those playoffs, he produced a double-digit DKFP in six contests. He will not play more than 20 minutes, but when he is on the ground, he will lift his punches. The utilization rate was 20%, 18.2% and 13.8% this series.

Fades

Bam Adebayo ($7,600) – Adebayo was fantastic in Game 3, finishing with 31 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, one block and four steals. It was good for 63.5 DKFP. Adebayo is a fantastic and very talented player, but it was an outlier performance. Butler has only played 20 minutes and in the previous four playoff games, Adebayo has scored less than 26 DKFPs in all. He scored at least 40 DKFP just five times in these playoffs. The Celtics are going to make adjustments for Adebayo and Williams’ potential return could help with that.

The result

As mentioned in the intro, the Celtics have only lost two games in a row since the All-Star break. In Game 3, they shot a higher percentage than the Heat and won the rebound and free throw battles. Unfortunately, they committed 24 turnovers which led to 33 points for Miami. I expect them to take care of the ball in Game 4 and win convincingly.

Final score: Celtics 108, Heat 94

Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $700,000 Shootaround [$150K to 1st] (MIA vs. BOS)


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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and I’m also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may occasionally play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and are not a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment to create queues. I can also deploy different players and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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